This is typical of statistical analysis. It's fantastic because it reinforces what you already knew, but that also makes it somewhat boring. Not to call this post boring or anything. My experience in academia has trained me to interpret 'your analysis reinforced what I already knew' as a compliment.
I like this analysis because it aligns almost perfectly with the generally accepted NFL wisdom that team stats (teams don't have careers, they restart every time) crystallise after week 11, which with byes would be the ten game mark. However, just because I could've told you the answer before I started reading does not mean it does not need to be proven. Thank you for doing the proving.
It's still mind boggling that the best QB in the NFL is a rookie. There's nothing fluky about it either. His CPOE is almost 12 (!). It's unbelievable. There's no possible way that this performance can continue, because if it does than Jayden Daniels has come into the league as the best QB in NFL history, which is just not possible. From here, we're all just predicting how steep the falloff will be, and I don't think any of us have any idea as to the answer of that question.
My mind leans toward the side that the falloff will be severe, because rookie QBs just tend to stink, but there's been nothing fluky about Jayden's start. Nothing whatsoever, so it's so hard to tell.
This is typical of statistical analysis. It's fantastic because it reinforces what you already knew, but that also makes it somewhat boring. Not to call this post boring or anything. My experience in academia has trained me to interpret 'your analysis reinforced what I already knew' as a compliment.
I like this analysis because it aligns almost perfectly with the generally accepted NFL wisdom that team stats (teams don't have careers, they restart every time) crystallise after week 11, which with byes would be the ten game mark. However, just because I could've told you the answer before I started reading does not mean it does not need to be proven. Thank you for doing the proving.
It's still mind boggling that the best QB in the NFL is a rookie. There's nothing fluky about it either. His CPOE is almost 12 (!). It's unbelievable. There's no possible way that this performance can continue, because if it does than Jayden Daniels has come into the league as the best QB in NFL history, which is just not possible. From here, we're all just predicting how steep the falloff will be, and I don't think any of us have any idea as to the answer of that question.
My mind leans toward the side that the falloff will be severe, because rookie QBs just tend to stink, but there's been nothing fluky about Jayden's start. Nothing whatsoever, so it's so hard to tell.